“We want veterans. We stopped making them.”
Contributed by Chris Stanley, Founder of IA Path
Entry-level adjuster postings are down nearly 50%, even as senior postings remain 80% above 2017 levels. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects about 21,600 openings each year, on average, for claims adjusters, appraisers, examiners, and investigators from 2025 to 2035. All are expected to result from the need to replace workers who transfer to other occupations or exit the labor force, such as to retire.
It’s easy to see shrinking claims teams and assume AI is replacing adjusters. I see an industry leaning on AI and a shrinking pool of veterans because it can’t find enough qualified people, while its hiring playbook still assumes a workforce that no longer exists.
Yes, and employers feel it. Seventy-two percent of insurers say labor shortages affect their ability to grow and manage claims, and 24% rank talent as their number-one challenge. Claims remains one of insurers’ most in-demand areas, just behind technology.
At the same time, many people want these roles. IA Path has trained more than 5,500 people, yet in IA Path’s experience, many applicants are skipped for interviews after sending resumes to hundreds of firms.
For decades, the industry hired from one talent pool: what I call the Fossil Workforce.
The Fossil Workforce is made up of people who were trained and mentored on the job. They learned through years in the seat, with experienced colleagues nearby. They are the people who meet the two-to-five-year experience requirements in many job postings, and who can make claims decisions with the judgment that comes from seeing the same patterns over and over.
And they’re leaving. Claims Journal reports that Sedgwick’s annual Loss Adjusting Insights report found a quarter of claim adjusters are expected to retire by the end of 2027. The veterans who remain are already employed. The pool every job posting is drilling into is running dry.
While experience walks out one door, we’ve locked the other. Seventy-eight percent of insurers are most likely to add experienced people; only about one in five say entry-level hires are their greatest need. By January 2025, entry-level roles made up just 16% of insurers’ planned hires, the lowest share in the study.
I’ve seen what that costs. In 2016, I was an independent auto damage appraiser in the Denver market and was moving back East. I trained a replacement who wanted a stable career and was excited to start. I offered to mentor him and review his files so the company could keep coverage. They said he didn’t have enough experience. He became a coffee-shop manager and never returned to the industry.
That pattern repeats at carriers, independent adjusting firms, and collision centers. We don’t just have a talent problem. We have a taste problem.
For years, experienced adjusters, estimators, and appraisers were treated as plug-and-play hires. Many companies stopped building development programs. In my experience, the pandemic accelerated that retreat. Three habits now make the shortage worse:
We can’t make more of the Fossil Workforce quickly. So who should we hire?
Stop hiring only for the right resume. Look for a person with three traits:
As AI becomes a larger part of insurance, having the right humans in the room will matter even more. The companies that build a repeatable way to identify and develop people won’t have to wait years for another generation of experience. They can change what they look for and start growing it.
Part 2: How to teach adjusters the “gut calls” veterans rely on.